Research in the field of criminal
justice indicates that a small number of offenders account for a
disproportionate amount of crime. These offenders, often referred to as serial
offenders, frequent offenders or prolific offenders share some common traits.
They appear to be undeterred by the criminal justice system. By virtue of their
frequent involvement in criminal acts, their actions consume significant
resources. They cause significant harm to the community not only through their
actions, but also the resources expended on detecting, pursuing and
incarcerating them. However, frequent offenders have one redeeming quality;
they are predictable.
If a small group of offenders
commit a disproportionate amount of crime, it is logical to conclude that
targeting repeat offenders could be an effective means of crime reduction.
However, crime reduction strategies that limit their scope to pursuing and
arresting frequent offenders are doomed to failure. If the police are to reduce
the demand on resources and reduce the harm caused to the community,
alternative strategies must be explored. Varying philosophies of policing offer
alternative ways to impact crime and disorder, each with its own merits. While
academic theory in the field of criminal justice has proven invaluable, studies
of practical application and what works remains the true measure of success.
Understanding Frequent Offenders
Academic research of recidivism is
remarkably consistent. Here are just a few examples: A 1945 study of 10,000
boys born in the City of Philadelphia revealed that, while most youths in the
sample did not follow a criminal path, a small group amounting to 6.3% of the
sample were involved in frequent criminal acts. Further, this group of frequent
offenders accounted for 52% of all recorded offenses. Across the ocean in
Australia, analysis of a police initiative which targeted burglary offenders
revealed that 18% of the offenders had 15 or more convictions (Ratcliffe
54-59). In Madison Wisconsin, community concern over offensive behavior by
persons who appeared to suffer from mental illness drew local media attention.
The media estimated the number of persons involved at over 1,000. A study of
the problem revealed that only about 20 people were responsible for the problem
(Goldstein 105). A 2004 study of criminal traffic offenders in Green Bay
Wisconsin revealed that 81% of those cited for the criminal traffic offense of
operating with a revoked license had at least one prior conviction. Remarkably,
35% had five or more prior convictions for the same offense (Bongle 4). “A very
small proportion of the total population is responsible for a large proportion
of serious offenses reported to the police (Taylor and Fritsch 421).”
There is also evidence to suggest that frequent offenders
tend to commit repeat crimes against the same target. One researcher who
interviewed 21 serial burglars reported, “76% said they had gone back to a
number of houses after a varying period to burgle them between two and five
times (Everson and Pease 216).”
Additional research suggests that neighborhoods plagued by high crime
rates have a high rate of repeat victimization, leading to the conclusion that
frequent offenders and repeat victims are related to each other (Tilley 18).
This information supports the notion that repeat offenders exhibit some
predictability. Understanding this dynamic may help the police detect and
arrest repeat offenders.
While the primary reason for which
the police exist is to prevent crime and disorder, the duty of the police to
detect crime and arrest those involved remains a central focus. The phenomenon
of disproportionate criminality and targeted victimization is of great interest
to the police for both preventing crime and targeting offenders. The current
economic climate has created a situation in which administrators must make
difficult budgetary decisions and police agencies must function with limited or
reduced resources. Naturally, administrators seek ways to improve efficiency
while continuing to serve their communities. Through better understanding of
the relationship between repeat offenders and repeat victimization, the police
may be able to develop more effective intervention strategies.
Many effective strategies that have
emerged over the last two decades find their roots in the philosophy of Problem
Oriented Policing (POP) and Community Oriented Policing (COP). The two
acronyms, though sometimes used interchangeably, mean different things. And
while POP and COP philosophies complement each other, the terms bear enough
resemblance for the layperson to confuse them.
POP focuses on specific problems and often incorporates a methodical
approach known as the SARA model. SARA is an acronym for a four-step problem
solving process designed to first identify (Scan), study (Analyze), implement a
strategy based on the results of research (Response), and evaluate the
effectiveness of the strategy (Assess).
A hallmark of POP involves focusing attention on problems that draw
significant resources, things that merit police attention. Problems are usually
defined by two or more events, similar in nature and about which the public
expects the police to do something about. Successful POP strategies usually
involve comprehensive approaches, some level of community engagement and
community partnerships. POP recognizes that the arrest of offenders is only one
of many tactics to address crime and community problems (Goldstein 65-66).
COP is a philosophy that seeks to
build collaboration, trust and partnerships with the community. COP is a broad
approach that includes problem solving as a strategy. In COP, citizens play a
vital role in identifying and setting police priorities. Citizen surveys and
community meetings are two examples where the public communicates priorities to
the police. COP is often thought of as the cop on the beat. While community
engagement is a primary tenet of COP, describing the concept in these terms
does not adequately explain the depth and importance of the COP philosophy. COP
focuses on building relationships with members of the community, earning trust
and delivering quality service. COP emerged in the late 1970’s and early 1980’s
as researchers searched for ways to rebuild community trust following civil
unrest of the 60’s (Trojanowicz and Bucqeroux 2).
Since a component of Problem
Oriented Policing involves the collaboration of community partners, the value
of the Community Oriented Policing philosophy should not be underestimated. In
fact, the two are inextricably linked, for without collaboration and assistance
from the community, POP strategies would stand little chance of success.
Intelligence Led Policing (ILP) is
another emerging philosophy which places emphasis on gathering information
about criminal activity through crime analysis, data analysis and research to
help the police disrupt criminal activity and prevent crime. A core aspect of
ILP is the identification of repeat offenders which leads to a targeted
approach. When the police become preoccupied with handling service calls,
little attention is paid to addressing the underlying conditions that
contribute to crime. ILP provides focus for the police to attack problems that
cause the most harm to the community. ILP has evolved into a management
philosophy which stresses information sharing, collaboration and developing
strategic solutions to crime problems (Ratcliffe 89).
A logical progression in police
administration is the combination of POP, COP and ILP. Technological
advancements in the area of crime mapping have improved the ability of the
police to detect frequent event locations, commonly referred to as hot spots.
While the concept of crime mapping is not a new one, the prevalence of GIS
(Global Information Services) and web-based utilities are making it easier for
police to identify and track patterns of activity. Intelligence systems that
draw data from a variety of data sources and take into account multiple
variables are providing police with some exciting crime fighting tools. The
concept of predictive analytics was once considered science fiction. Now police
agencies like Charleston, S.C. are making use of these technologies to deploy
police resources to places prone to criminal activity in an effort to deter
crime (Fisher 1). Turnkey software solutions are becoming more prevalent and
police agencies are making increased use of them.
While POP and COP have delivered in
identifying hot spots, identifying frequent offenders has proven to be more
difficult. Crime associated with frequent offenders may or may not be isolated
to a specific geographic location.
Repeat offenders may offend in multiple locations and have contact with
different police officers on different shifts. Absent an organized and
scientific way of detecting them, they may go undetected. Frequent offenders
are, in effect, moving targets.
Ratliff acknowledges that the
police, through frequent contacts, are probably aware who the most prolific
offenders are in their communities however, such observations are anecdotal and
unscientific (59). The concept of hot spot analysis is arguably a logical
strategy for the police to detect and even prevent crime in neighborhoods.
However, if the police limit their focus to environmental factors and hot spot
analysis, they may overlook important information relative to frequent
offenders who are unencumbered by police patrol districts or jurisdictional
boundaries. Just as there is value in identifying frequent event locations,
there is also value in identifying the moving targets, i.e., frequent
offenders. In doing so, it helps to understand more about them. Enter ILP.
Research has shown that people
exhibit predictable patterns of behavior and so it’s no surprise that frequent
offenders begin their career at a young age. One predictor of who may become a
frequent offender is the age a juvenile is first arrested. Interestingly,
juveniles arrested between the ages of 6 and14 are far more likely to become
frequent offenders than those who have not been arrested. Of those arrested at
this young age, 68% will likely go on to commit three or more crimes while 37%
will go on to commit violent offenses ("Wisconsin Family Impact
Seminars" 14-15).
While some of these offenders are
committing criminal offenses, many are juveniles who are committing
"status offenses", acts that if committed by an adult would not be
considered a crime. Status offenses include acts such as underage drinking,
running away from home, truancy and curfew violations. Acts of juvenile
delinquency, while non-criminal in nature, can lead to more destructive
behaviors (Taylor and Fritsch 5). For example, a juvenile out after curfew may
be involved in home burglaries or, a juvenile whose judgment is impaired by alcohol
may commit a more serious offense. In addition, status offense or not, the
impact on police resources is the same. Therefore, status offenses should be
given attention as well.
Even minor incidents of social
disorder can help predict future patterns of criminal conduct. According to
Coumarelos, “…the “Youth Lifestyles Survey found that boys (12-17 years old)
who used drugs were nearly 5 times more likely to be offenders.” and, “… factors with the best chance of predicting
offending for 10-15 year olds were being the victim of a crime themselves,
committing antisocial behavior, taking drugs, and being regularly drunk
(Ratcliffe 57).”
Additional research suggests that
the most prolific repeat offenders are males between the age of 10 and 17.
Combine this with the research that shows that a minority of offenders commit a
disproportionately high number of crimes. For example, the majority of
burglaries and robberies are committed by juveniles between the ages of 15 and
17 years old (Tilley 12).
Traditionally, the focus of the
police has been to detect and arrest those involved in criminal activity. One
might be tempted to think that, for example, the arrest of a serial burglar
would result in a dramatic reduction in home burglaries for the entire
community. While that may be true for the period of time the individual is
incarcerated, we already know that a disproportionate amount of crime is
committed by frequent offenders. “This is compelling evidence that a
broad-brush reliance of the legal and criminal justice system to impact
positively on the crime rate is a flawed strategy (Ratliff 63).” This is not to
suggest that arresting offenders is not the right thing to do. On the contrary,
the identification, pursuit and the arrest of offenders is, and will remain, a
core function of the police. However, the police should not limit themselves to
this singular function but instead, take a more comprehensive approach, taking
into consideration research and study what is working in other communities.
San Diego Graffiti and Suppression project
In 2000, the San Diego Police
Department received international recognition for conceiving and implementing a
successful project aimed at the reduction of graffiti. The problem was
identified by the community as a priority through surveys. Two officers
assigned to study the project learned, among other things, that a small group
of juveniles were responsible for a generating a disproportionate amount of
graffiti in their community. Through research and interviews with juveniles who
were involved in the graffiti, the police gained a better understanding of the
factors which led the juveniles to commit this offense. They also learned that
the act of committing this sort of criminal act was often a precursor to other,
more serious criminal activity. Police were able to develop a comprehensive
strategy with six distinctive approaches, when combined proved to be very
successful (Albright, Hard, and Tos 9).
One particularly successful
strategy involved targeting the most prolific offenders with an intensive
counseling program aimed at addressing the underlying motivations of those
involved. (It is interesting to note that the offenders themselves provided
this key piece of information.) While the strategy was conceived by the police
through analysis, it involved the participation of multiple community partners
including: juvenile probation officers, counselors, the juvenile court, youth
services, and community volunteers. Assessment of the program revealed that 30%
of the offenders were no longer involved in this act, to any degree. Overall,
the program resulted in a 90% reduction in graffiti in the project area
(Albright, Hard, and Tos 11).
Regina Auto Theft Reduction Strategy
In the mid 1990’s the community of
Regina, located in Saskatchewan Canada, experienced a notable increase in auto
thefts. Traditional means of attacking the problem through increased
enforcement were unsuccessful and as a result, the Regina Police Service
implemented a project team to study the problem and develop a more effective
strategy.
Regina Police confirmed that a
disproportionate number of auto thefts were being committed by small group of
repeat offenders. Through multiple interviews with offenders, police learned
more about their motivations and used this information to develop a customized
strategy with the goal of creating disincentives to those motivations.
The Regina strategy, like the San
Diego approach, involved multiple community partners which included:
prosecutors, correctional officers, the automobile insurance industry,
educators, the media and members of the public. The approach was a
comprehensive one involving public education and early intervention first time,
youthful offenders. One very effective aspect of the strategy involved the
identification and targeting of frequent and repeat offenders.
The term targeting is not limited
to the arrest and prosecution of repeat offenders. In the Regina project a
committee brought together a group of criminal justice professionals to work on
the issue. The group’s focus was to reduce the recidivism of those involved in
automobile theft. The process began with keeping a database of the most chronic
offenders so that when police and prosecutors encountered them, enhanced
measures could be taken. These measures included: charging the offender with
the maximum applicable offense, holding the offender in custody until court
appearance and, a request by the prosecutor to the courts for the offender to
be remain in custody until the case was adjudicated. The modified approach did
not end there.
Counseling and program
interventions were initiated while youthful offenders were held in
custody. Upon release, the corrections
department initiated a more intense supervision program. Court ordered conditions
were imposed such as curfew, and disallowing offenders to associate with known
criminal offenders. Police and probation officers partnered to conduct home
visits to verify that curfew conditions were being followed. Violators of these
conditions were charged and dealt with harshly (Hawkes 10).
The police also stepped up their
enforcement efforts by: maintaining more detailed records, working closely with
the courts, and implementing aggressive enforcement tactics like using bait
vehicles. In 2001, the first year after the strategy was implemented, auto
thefts in Regina were reduced by 28.4%. By 2003, the problem had been reduced
by a total of 32.6% (Hawkes 13).
Green Bay’s Prolific Repeat Offender Action Team (PROACT)
Through crime analysis, GBPD has identified a group of
frequent offenders. The information was gathered from Green Bay’s records
management system which identified persons with the largest number of police
contacts in which they were listed as a “subject”. A period of one year was examined under the
premise that the information contained in the report would be current and
relevant. Individuals with fifteen or more offenses in one year were identified
as PROACT candidates. Using these criteria, 24 adults and 8 juveniles were
identified. Of the 8 juveniles, 4 were classified as status offenders.
The PROACT concept is based in the
principles described in POP, COP and ILP. Understanding that collaborative,
problem solving efforts fed by data and research are the most likely to impact
Green Bay’s frequent offenders, a team of area professionals were identified as
community partners. The PROACT team will review the case history of frequent
offenders, make recommendations and develop strategies aimed at reducing repeat
offenses. PROACT will meet regularly to
review the cases and determine the effectiveness of those strategies. The first
PROACT meeting was held on April 25, 2012 and was attended by 25 area
professionals. Those attending included: youth services, prosecutors, alcohol
and substance abuse counselors, educators, and mental health professionals. The
group identified four goals:
- Reduce harm to the community
- Reduce the resources expended on chronic offenders
- Deter offenders from committing future acts
- Measure outcomes
Conclusion:
When examining best practices, the
most effective strategies shared characteristics found in three recognized
philosophies: Problem Oriented Policing, Community Oriented Policing and
Intelligence Led Policing. Upon review of successful initiatives relating to
crime reduction and repeat offenders, a number of common themes emerged:
- Identifying and targeting repeat offenders proved to be an effective strategy in reducing and preventing crime
- Offender interviews were a valuable tool in understanding the motivation and dynamics of criminal behavior
- Citizens played a role in identifying priorities for the police
- Analysis was used to corroborate citizen priorities
- Juvenile offenders are a legitimate target for intervention strategies because most frequent offenders begin their criminal careers as juveniles and programs targeting juveniles have the highest rate of success
- Community problems were more effectively addressed when police expanded their analysis from hot spots (places) to include frequent offenders (people)
- Incentives as well as disincentives to criminal behavior resulted in the most dramatic decrease in recidivism
- The most effective intervention strategies promoted a decreased reliance on the criminal justice system and increased use of community treatment and other alternatives
- Arrest and punishment were viewed as but one of many strategies to reduce crime and deter frequent offenders
While the study of frequent
offenders is not new, innovations in technology have made it easier for police
to recognize patterns of criminal activity. How the police use these tools will
vary greatly and depend on how they view their role in the community. How
effective they will be will depend on their willingness to engage the community
and adapt to changing variables in the public safety environment.
In these case studies, law
enforcement agencies were the catalyst in identifying and focusing attention on
the problem. However, measurable successes were not achieved until the police
engaged community partners. A hybrid approach seems to offer the greatest opportunity for
success. Perhaps Ratcliffe said best; “An integrated strategy that combines some
of the benefits of problem oriented policing with the targeted and objective
approach of proactive policing seems to be the direction in which proponents of
intelligence led policing are heading."
References
Albright, Dan, Corinne Hard, and David Tos. San Diego Police
Department. Graffiti Prevention and Suppression. Center for Problem Oriented
Policing, 2000. Web. 12 Jul 2012.
<http://www.popcenter.org/library/awards/goldstein/2000/00-28(W).pdf>.
Bongle, William. City of Green Bay. Green Bay Police
Department. Habitual Traffic Offenders: Operation Revocation. 2004. Print.
Fisher, Sharon. "Charleston Tests Predictive Analytics
For Crime Prevention." Information Week Government. 13 June 2012: 1.
Print. <http://www.informationweek.com/news/government/security/240001949>.
Hawkes, Terry. Regina, Saskatchewan. Regina Police Service.
Regina Auto Theft Strategy. Regina: Center for Problem Oriented Policing, 2004.
Web. 12 Jul 2012.
<http://www.popcenter.org/library/awards/goldstein/2004/04-33.pdf>.
"Promising Approaches for Addressing Juvenile
Crime." Wisconsin Family Impact Seminars. May 1994. Ed. Karen
Bogenschneider. Madison, WI: University of Wisconsin, Madison, 1994. 14-15
Ratcliffe, J. Intelligence-led policing. Portland, Or: Willan
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Taylor, Robert, and Eric Fritsch. Juvenile Justice. 3rd. New
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Tilley, Nick. "Repeat Offenders." Center for
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Jul 2012. <http://www.popcenter.org/conference
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